The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb challenges traditional views of probability and risk, arguing that rare, unpredictable events—known as Black Swans—have a massive impact on our lives. From historical events like the fall of Pompeii and the Wall Street Crash to modern phenomena like the rise of Harry Potter and the internet, Taleb explores how these events often defy conventional forecasting methods.
In this thought-provoking book, Taleb critiques our obsession with prediction and encourages readers to embrace uncertainty. With a focus on the limits of human knowledge and the dangers of relying on experts, The Black Swan is an eye-opening examination of how we respond to the improbable and how we can better navigate a world full of surprises.
